Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2102.495163 2284.993553 2470.270594 2672.157535 2885.651541 3104.412493 3345.219975
2025-02-23 1817.884035 2090.086014 2377.261864 2701.656684 3056.741211 3432.469756 3858.946803
2025-03-02 1616.981858 1939.917554 2290.522337 2697.073843 3153.122133 3646.577152 4218.494879
2025-03-09 1492.665451 1855.688749 2259.275285 2737.318385 3284.140032 3886.266988 4595.486973
2025-03-16 1354.023476 1741.168683 2181.270693 2712.906150 3331.936112 4024.372397 4851.713185
2025-03-23 1284.154891 1699.604027 2180.863850 2771.807888 3470.022981 4261.069431 5217.161906
2025-03-30 1200.512614 1634.700230 2147.021195 2786.118742 3551.824143 4429.851200 5502.546402
2025-04-06 1120.737792 1568.751079 2106.849856 2788.257136 3615.417571 4574.613338 5758.162797
2025-04-13 1008.838426 1455.803732 2003.181557 2707.681697 3574.932708 4592.630771 5861.518859
2025-04-20 984.818412 1452.842989 2034.075496 2790.823419 3731.610416 4844.779056 6242.748697
2025-04-27 945.182233 1426.897062 2033.874840 2833.567356 3837.774568 5035.984970 6551.716090
2025-05-04 889.341604 1376.315325 1999.505216 2830.913553 3885.991237 5155.925858 6774.490667
2025-05-11 828.160440 1316.331066 1951.491581 2810.175034 3911.943809 5250.154962 6969.015934
2025-05-18 791.980895 1288.741064 1944.495294 2841.225481 4002.721634 5424.390772 7262.451233
2025-05-25 744.926037 1243.323968 1911.530306 2836.463067 4046.454679 5539.467046 7482.964145
2025-06-01 718.489170 1225.632987 1914.630575 2878.190532 4149.262381 5728.208805 7795.208931
2025-06-08 670.187368 1173.754185 1868.851491 2852.879640 4163.766485 5805.030587 7967.797595
2025-06-15 654.755995 1169.242426 1887.736358 2913.945778 4290.744136 6024.278906 8319.387046
2025-06-22 625.046860 1141.807000 1873.297379 2928.780520 4356.363409 6165.399552 8573.231316
2025-06-29 593.207583 1109.473359 1850.521102 2930.997131 4404.435018 6283.690768 8798.371664
2025-07-06 537.352813 1037.041199 1767.626825 2847.462570 4335.791408 6249.916586 8828.837705
2025-07-13 534.787518 1048.362192 1806.130467 2933.657258 4495.803110 6512.990192 9239.753660
2025-07-20 520.379590 1039.927904 1815.110949 2977.960694 4599.184563 6702.861147 9557.830284